2024 Olympics Basketball Odds and Expert Predictions

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This basketball betting guide will discuss the latest 2024 Olympic basketball odds for the top teams in this year’s tournament.

The 16-time Olympic champion Team USA is the heavy favorite in this year’s Olympic basketball odds. Team USA is listed at -450 and is looking for its 20th medal in basketball in as many appearances. The globalization of the sport is catching up with Team USA, though, and the level of competition in international basketball has certainly increased.

This basketball betting guide will discuss the latest 2024 Olympic basketball odds for the top teams in this year’s tournament. I will provide an analysis of the top national teams and give my prediction for which country will take home the gold in men’s basketball this Olympics.

2024 Olympics Men’s Basketball Odds

The 2020 Olympic Games were delayed a year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The delay did little to derail Team USA, which won yet another gold medal in basketball. Oddsmakers have the US heavily favored to win the gold again this year.

See the table below to see the latest 2024 basketball Olympics odds from Lucky Cola Sportsbook.

Country2024 Olympic Basketball Odds2020 Olympics Finish
USA-4501st (Gold)
Canada+800N/A
France+8002nd (Silver)
Serbia+1000N/A
Germany+25008th
Spain+25006th
Australia+33003rd (Bronze)
Greece+4000N/A
Slovenia+50004th
Lithuania+6600N/A
Latvia+15000N/A
Italy+250005th

Team USA Odds and Analysis

  • Odds to win gold: -450
  • Total appearances: 19
  • Total Olympic medals: 16 gold, 1 silver, 2 bronze

The US Men’s National Basketball Team has won eight of the last 10 gold medals at the Olympics. It is rare to see the men’s team lose a game in the Olympics, let alone fall out of the first palace. The only team that has been more dominant is the Women’s team, which has won gold medals at every Olympics except for one since 1984.

This year, the US Men’s team will have added firepower. Future hall of famer and four-time NBA champion Steph Curry will make his Team USA Olympic debut. Anthony Edwards and Joel Embiid will also make their Olympic debuts for the US this year.

The rest of Team USA is full of stars who have tons of Olympic experience, including:

Top-rates sportsbooks have Team USA listed as the -450 favorite to win the gold again this year. The competition will be tougher than usual, but it is challenging to see anyone beating the US if the players are locked in.

Team Germany Odds and Analysis

  • Odds to win gold: +2500
  • Total appearances: 6
  • Total Olympic medals: 0

Germany’s Men’s Basketball Team has competed in the Olympics six times but has never won a medal. The German team did win gold at the FIBA World Cup last year and has a great chance to win a medal this summer. It will be tougher to win in Paris, especially against the US, but the German team could be set up for its best appearance in the Olympics.

Even making it to the final four would be a big step for Germany. In its six Olympic appearances so far, Germany has never made it past the quarter-finals. In 2021, Germany lost 94-70 to Slovenia, finishing eighth overall.

Germany is ranked third in the FIBA rankings, which is impressive given its lack of NBA players. The team is full of young players, too, with only two players, Max DiLeo and Jonas Wohlfarth-Bottermann, age 30 or over.

Team Spain Odds and Analysis

  • Odds to win gold: +2500
  • Total appearances: 14
  • Total Olympic medals: 2 silver, 1 bronze

Spain is the other team listed at 25-1 to win gold in men’s basketball at the 2024 Olympics. In 14 Olympic appearances, the Spanish team has claimed three silver medals and one bronze. Its most recent medal came at the 2016 Olympics when Spain beat Australia in the bronze medal game.

The US defeated Spain in the quarterfinals at the 2020 Olympics, despite Ricky Rubio leading the game in scoring with 38 points. Rubio led all players in the Olympics in scoring that year, but he will not be on the team this time around.

With Rubio out of the lineup, Spain will need its other veterans to step up to lead the team. Spain has six players aged 30 or older, so it should have plenty of veteran experience to lean on. Team Spain could be at a talent disadvantage, though, as only 22-year-old Usman Garuba currently plays in the NBA as a member of the Golden State Warriors’ G League squad.

2024 Olympic Basketball Picks

The rest of the world has slowly but surely started to catch up to the US in men’s basketball. Many of the top players in the world are international players, but will anyone be able to dethrone the US at the Olympics this summer?

Secure betting sites list the USA as the -450 favorite to win its fifth consecutive Olympic gold in men’s basketball. Given the depth of talent on the US roster, it is challenging to pick against them. I believe the US will continue its reign for now and claim gold again in Paris.

The United States’s time at the top of the basketball world could be coming to an end soon, though. Canada and France both have talented rosters and are worthy of being tied for the second-best odds. Of the two, I believe Canada has the best odds to upset the US this year, but I would take France in 2028 and beyond.

Which Country’s 2024 Olympics Men’s Basketball Odds Are You Betting On?

Dozens of NBA players are headed to Paris for the 2024 Olympics. Most of those players will be playing for Team USA, which is a big reason why the US is a heavy favorite in this year’s Olympic basketball odds.

Check out the guide above to see the current 2024 Olympic basketball odds for the men’s bracket. I break down the top teams and give my Olympic predictions. Then, sign up at Lucky Cola Sportsbook to bet on the 2024 Paris Olympics online.

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